MERSEYSIDE BOWING THE KNEE TO CHANCELLOR?

 

DEVOLUTION.

If Merseyside councils outside Liverpool are recognising the power of George Osborne, they won’t be alone. The concerns of Wirral, St Helens, Sefton and other councils that an elected sub regional mayor will mean domination by Liverpool are valid and need to be addressed. But the Chancellor restated in the Summer Budget that the only way to substantial devolution for city regions is by accepting the new role.

The Tories and George Osborne are at the zenith of their power. The Chancellor gave a confident performance as he set out his vision for a higher wage, lower welfare economy. It was more than the annual stock keeping on the country’s economy. It was a statement of the Tory vision, the like of which we have not seen since Chancellor Geoffrey Howe began implementing Mrs Thatcher’s economic architecture in the eighties.

Leaderless Labour see their policy of a living wage shamelessly pillaged by a Tory government that now seems to believe it’s the government’s job to meddle in what private firms pay their employees. The Scottish Nationalists are challenged by Osborne to use their powers instead of bellyaching for more and the Lib Dems, who used to have Danny Alexander at Osborne’s side as Chief Secretary to the Treasury have become an irrelevance.

In these circumstances it is unlikely that concerns about the governance of the Mersey City Region are going to get much of a hearing. The chair of the Combined Authority, Phil Davies, says they will be setting out their demands next week. However Treasury Minister Jim O’Neill tells us the councils have agreed on an elected city region mayor in principle and the talks will be about the timetable and powers.

George Osborne also made clear that similar talks are under way in South and West Yorkshire so there is a real prospect that in 2017 elections will be held for powerful city region mayors across the North.

So it is full steam ahead for the Northern Powerhouse? By no means. A government that reneges on a promise to electrify the Leeds- Manchester rail line can’t be trusted. Liverpool Mayor Joe Anderson complained that the Budget contained no commitment to HS3 connecting Hull to Liverpool, “we could end up with a house without power.” Indeed we could. By their deeds we will know them.

WAR ON THE YOUNG.

The Chancellor wants to cut drastically the welfare state and abolish tax credits but he was careful to avoid the criticism that his measures were totally unbalanced in favour of the rich. So whilst we had a four year freeze on benefits and a 1% public sector pay rise over the same period we also had measures against Non Doms, tax evaders and wealthy car owners.

But Osborne has not taken a balanced approach to the young. They will be losing housing benefit and tax relief on pensions, not getting the £7.20 living wage, and maintenance grants for the poorest students are being turned into loans. A dangerous gap is opening up between how poor young people and wealthy pensioners are being treated.

WAGE INTERVENTION.

Tax credits were allowing some firms that could afford to pay better wages to get state subsidies but the planned increase of the living wage by 10% next year and up to £9 by 2020 is going to put a strain on some smaller businesses that genuinely can’t afford it.

It is a big increase at a time when inflation is at 1%. Politically it is an extraordinary move by a Tory government. In the seventies Harold Wilson’s government loved its Prices and Incomes Board. The state meddled in companies’ affairs for a pastime. Margaret Thatcher wanted the market to decide these things. But George knows best.

 

DON’T MENTION THE NORTHERN POWERHOUSE IN BUDGET GEORGE.

 

RAIL BETRAYAL.

I have rarely been so angered as I was on hearing the government had pulled the rug on major rail plans including the electrification of the Leeds- Manchester line.

It’s difficult to know where to start with this act of betrayal, almost deceit, being perpetrated on the people of the North. So here is a brief list of the things that were wrong with the announcement of the Transport Secretary Patrick McLoughlin.

Number one, the fundamental principle of the Northern Powerhouse is connectivity, bringing closer together the great cities of Liverpool, Manchester, Leeds, Hull and Newcastle. This “pause” which is a Whitehall weasel word for cancel, drives a coach and horses through the whole proposition.

Number two, for decades businesses dependent on government contracts have complained about the stop start approach of Ministers. The reason why our infrastructure is so poor is that successive governments have kept turning the investment tap on and off, making long term planning impossible.

Number three, for a year in the run up to the General Election Tory politicians were promising more and more spending on our rail connections. They must have known at least some of the truth. No wonder people are utterly cynical about politicians’ promises.

Number four, the chairman of Network Rail is made the scapegoat when the Transport Secretary should have gone too.

And finally will Crossrail 2 in London be affected by this plan? I don’t expect so. In which case the huge disparity between transport spend in the capital and the North will widen still further.

The only answer is to to devolve most of the transport budget to a Northern devolved government where we can make decisions for ourselves.

So George Osborne, don’t dare to tell us how much you support the Northern Powerhouse when you announce your budget on Wednesday because few will believe you.

BUDGET PREVIEW.

In his first budget this year George Osborne had Lib Dem Chief Secretary to the Treasury Danny Alexander reminding him he was in a Coalition. Alexander has now gone back to his old job with the Highland Tourist Board for all I know. Anyway Osborne is now free to show us what the first fully Tory budget since 1997 looks like.

Will he implement £12bn of welfare cuts? Will he continue to hammer local council spending? Will he pursue an ideological approach to create a smaller state? The Chancellor has planned a roller-coaster of deep cuts at the beginning of the parliament followed by spending increases on the back of a surplus at the end. Great politics but it has attracted criticism from business that wants a smoother path to aid planning.

The Chancellor will have to fulfil his extraordinary promise to enshrine in law no increases in VAT, Income Tax and National Insurance. Other election promises centre around a rise in the threshold for Inheritance Tax and more measures on tax avoidance.

A growing issue is the UK’s poor productivity. Measures to tackle that would be good…..and that rail investment for the north.